Mugabe plans to outsmart Zuma ahead of 2013 election
2013 January 07 15:48:11 | 3374 Views
- Ingabe ikuphatheleni i-MDC, njalo kusizani ukuyivotela? | 2013 May 13 17:03:55 | 3052 views
- Ikuphatheleni iMDC, kusiza ngani ukuyivotela? | 2013 May 08 19:28:47 | 2851 views
- MDC-T on course | 2013 March 27 14:05:12 | 6753 views
- People will vote for a party with sustainable economic programmes | 2013 March 04 02:36:52 | 7541 views
- Introducing: Election (2013) campaign articles | 2013 March 02 11:08:41 | 6112 views
- Mugabe to tell TV viewers how he wooed Grace | 2013 May 23 06:55:18
- Mugabe, Tsvangirai share a lighter moment - video | 2013 May 23 06:51:52
- Mugabe condemns Liverpool's Luis Suarez | 2013 May 23 06:37:42
- Elections are not business they are battles | 2013 May 22 21:23:29
- Rewind:- Mugabe has to answer for the atrocities, says Tsvangirai | 2013 May 22 14:31:17
- Prophet Uebert Angel upsets T.B Joshua's followers | 2013 February 24 10:20:20 | 41142 views
- Prophet T.B. Joshua's prophecies for 2013 | 2013 January 01 12:26:15 | 21408 views
- Obama's wife is a Zimbabwean! | 2013 April 01 12:51:57 | 20702 views
- 'If anyone was defending Nkomo, it was I. I was the last to leave Zapu,' says Mugabe | 2013 February 19 15:02:19 | 11300 views
- Mpofu and SK Moyo up for Presidency | 2013 January 17 16:37:36 | 11124 views
Mbeki's negotiation of the 2008 power-sharing agreement that left Mugabe's powers largely intact and Morgan Tsvangirai in a poorly defined and weaker prime ministerial post was considered a betrayal of the democracy cause in Zimbabwe by critics of the former South African president. For his part, Mugabe once described Cyril Ramaphosa, the new deputy president of the ANC, as "a white man in a black man's skin". His return to top-level politics is therefore regarded by the opposition as a bonus.
Zuma's victory allows him to remain South Africa president until the 2014 elections when he will seek a second and final term, which is all but guaranteed given his party's electoral dominance. Crucially, this means he retains his role as the southern African regional facilitator of political reforms in Zimbabwe. The reforms are part of a power-sharing agreement the Southern African Development Community (SADC) brokered in 2008 to resolve the crisis that followed the controversial presidential election earlier in the year.
Zuma recently denied having any differences with Mugabe, claiming that they "were freedom fighters together". But some members of Mugabe's party, the Zimbabwe African National Union Patriotic Front (Zanu-PF), would have welcomed a Zuma defeat in Mangaung.
According to an insider, "Mbeki is a hero for protecting us from western regime change. Zuma did not oppose western regime change against (Muammar) Gaddafi (in Libya), so we know he is capable of giving us up to the west".
Moreover, Zuma is accused by some in Zanu-PF of supporting the reformation of the party's oldest rival, the Zimbabwe African Peoples Union (Zapu), under the leadership of Dumiso Dabengwa. Zapu, a close ally of the ANC during southern Africa's liberation struggle years, will challenge Zanu-PF in the upcoming elections.
Conversely the Zuma camp alleges that Zanu-PF secretly aided former ANC Youth League leader Julius Malema's various bids to undermine Zuma's presidency and his campaigns for nationalisation of mines and takeover of white-owned commercial land in South Africa.
These suspicions and allegations underline the testy nature of the Zuma-Mugabe relationship, despite the recent public denials by Zuma and Zanu-PF's national chairman, Simon Khaya Moyo.
Mugabe's enemies are hoping for external help to ensure an effective transfer of power in the election. The MDC trade minister, Priscilla Misihairabwi-Mushonga, went as far as to claim that SADC member states would intervene in Zimbabwe if the vote was not free and fair. "I have no doubt that if things went to the worst in Zimbabwe there would be a military intervention... The mood I see in SADC summits is that they will not allow a situation where Zimbabwe will go through an election that is not free and fair again. And they will be right in order to do that intervention, which is why some of us believe that there is still hope", Misihairabwi-Mushonga said.
But, realistically, the likelihood of a SADC-led military invasion in Zimbabwe is low. Even if there was the political will, member states do not have the necessary military or financial capacity.
Zuma has insisted on the implementation of political reforms before new elections, with the adoption of a new constitution being a benchmark – much to the chagrin of Zanu-PF. However, elections are constitutionally due in June and Zuma is unable to speed up the pace of reform. Zanu-PF is counting down the clock, as an election under the old rules would suit Mugabe's party. The fear among the pro-democracy camp is that reforms guaranteeing an even campaign field will not have been completed by June.
Blessing-Miles Tendi is the author of Making History in Mugabe's Zimbabwe: Politics, Intellectuals and the Media, and a lecturer in politics in the University of Oxford's Department of International Development
Disclaimer: All articles and letters published on Bulawayo24 have been independently written by members of Bulawayo24's community. The views of users published on Bulawayo24 are therefore their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Bulawayo24. Bulawayo24 editors also reserve the right to edit or delete any and all comments received.
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 139 Views
Daily Graphic | 2013 May 23 | 121 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 139 Views
Sunday World | 2013 May 23 | 155 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 137 Views
Robert Mugabe | 2013 May 23 | 109 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 122 Views
Court reporter | 2013 May 23 | 162 Views
Sports reporter | 2013 May 23 | 225 Views
Pauline Mhuka | 2013 May 23 | 154 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 181 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 192 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 211 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 23 | 161 Views
Sports reporter | 2013 May 23 | 207 Views
Staff Reporter | 2013 May 23 | 1098 Views
Staff Reporter | 2013 May 23 | 1220 Views
Staff Reporter | 2013 May 23 | 1486 Views
Moyo Roy | 2013 May 22 | 1648 Views
AFP | 2013 May 22 | 708 Views
Delta Milayo Ndou | 2013 May 22 | 821 Views
Sports reporter | 2013 May 22 | 1377 Views
Masowe eChishanu | 2013 May 22 | 1250 Views
amnesty.org | 2013 May 22 | 1035 Views
Blessing Ivan Vava | 2013 May 21 | 1611 Views
Staff reporter | 2013 May 21 | 4339 Views
Moyo Roy | 2013 May 20 | 5317 Views
TMZ | 2013 May 20 | 2257 Views
Emmanuel Ndlovu | 2013 May 18 | 2223 Views
Arts reporter | 2013 May 17 | 2126 Views
Entertainment Correspondent | 2013 May 17 | 2945 Views
Moyo Roy | 2013 May 16 | 2300 Views
Vasco Shaya | 2013 May 16 | 4362 Views